Atalanta vs. Milan Tips, Preview and Predictions

Atalanta and Milan club crests

Two teams with designs on mounting a sustained Serie A title challenge come together as Atalanta host AC Milan at the Gewiss Stadium on Sunday night. The Rossoneri have an extra day to prepare for this game following the teams’ midweek action, which could play a part in this weekend’s clash. 

Where and when: Gewiss Stadium – 3 October, kick-off 19:45

Where you can see Atalanta vs. Milan: BT Sport

Last time: Franck Kessie scored both goals from the penalty spot as Milan beat Atalanta 2-0 at this stadium on the final day of the 2020-21 Serie A season. 

Atalanta v Milan Predictions and Preview

This has been a relatively even fixture over recent years, with the last seven meetings between Atalanta and Milan producing two wins apiece and three draws. The standout result during that spell was La Dea’s stunning 5-0 victory over the Rossoneri just before Christmas in 2019, with a repeat of that scoreline here looking incredibly unlikely at 150/1. 

Milan have come on leaps and bounds over the last couple of years under Stefano Pioli. The same could be said of Atalanta under Gian Piero Gasperini, with both coaches instilling a newfound belief in their players. The question this weekend is which man can come up with the more accomplished tactical plan to get the result they’re after. 

Pioli’s game plan worked to perfection the last time the teams met, even if Milan needed two penalties to beat Atalanta. That was an impressive swing following La Dea’s 3-0 triumph at San Siro earlier in the campaign, when Milan were still frontrunners for the Scudetto. Both sides are capable of big performances and rattling in the goals, making this one tough to call. An over 3.5 goals bet could prove solid value at 9/5 though. 

A key factor in who to back in this Atalanta v Milan preview could be the away team’s additional preparation time following their home game against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday. There was late heartbreak for the Rossoneri against the La Liga champions, but they have an extra day to get ready for this match following La Dea’s home tie against Young Boys on Wednesday. 

The odds for this game are predictably close, with Atalanta’s home advantage making them the narrow favourites at 15/13. Milan are 28/11, while you can back the draw on Sunday at 11/4. Given these teams look evenly matched with little to choose between them, a stalemate could be an appealing option at those odds. 

One to watch for Atalanta: Duvan Zapata has two goals in four Serie A games so far this term, and is available at 49/10 in the first goalscorer market on Sunday. 

One to watch for Milan: Olivier Giroud is expected to lead the line for the Rossoneri and is 32/5 to break the deadlock in these Atalanta v Milan predictions. 

Long shot: Brahim Diaz has been in good form of late and is Milan’s top scorer in the league with three goals. He is 11/1 to score first in these Atalanta v Milan tips, rising to 143/1 if the game goes on to finish 2-2. 

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