This is a huge Madrid derby at the top of the Liga Liga table, as Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid at the Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday afternoon. Atletico hold a five-point advantage over both Real and Barcelona heading into this weekend’s clash, as well as a game in hand over the Clasico duo.
Where and when: Wanda Metropolitano – 7 March, kick-off 15:15
Where you can see Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Premier Sports
Last time: A Casemiro strike and an own goal from Atletico goalkeeper Jan Oblak either side of half-time handed Real Madrid a 2-0 victory when the teams met at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano in December.
Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Predictions and Preview
Although these clubs may have met in the Champions League final a few years ago, it doesn’t get too much bigger than this Madrid derby on the domestic front. A victory for Atletico Madrid would be a huge result in their quest for a first La Liga crown since 2014 and only a second in 25 years, while surely spelling the end of Real Madrid’s title defence.
Barcelona remain a key part of this three-horse title race, but the psychological boost for Atletico following a rough patch could prove seismic. Los Rojiblancos have dropped seven points in their last five La Liga fixtures, allowing Barca and Real to reduce what had been a commanding lead for Diego Simeone’s side.
As such, Atleti’s 2-0 win away to Villarreal last weekend was massive, and another three points here would be even bigger. Despite only losing two of their opening 24 games of the season, conceding just 16 goals in the process, and boasting home advantage on Sunday, Atletico are the slight underdogs at 13/7.
|Our Eurotips||Odds||Free bets||Bookie|
Draw and under 2.5 goals
Suarez to score first
The visitors are 31/18 in this Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid preview, while the draw is priced at 9/4 with William Hill. Real have won each of the last two meetings between the bitter rivals, but five of their six La Liga encounters before that ended all square. Four of the last eight domestic meetings between the sides have ended goalless.
Atletico’s last league victory in the Madrid derby was back in February 2016, so there’s an argument for them being well overdue a win. However, Los Rojiblancos have shown weakness in recent weeks, and their wobble could continue with more dropped points this weekend.
Whether Real have enough to take all three points remains to be seen. Zinedine Zidane’s side have made a far from convincing title defence so far, but they have the greater experience in going course and distance in the league. With that in mind, Real Madrid and the draw in the double chance market could prove solid value at 1/2.
One to watch for Atletico Madrid: Luis Suarez has enjoyed his fair share of battles with Real Madrid over the years. Now part of the fight for bragging rights in Madrid rather than the Clasico divide, the Uruguayan is 4/1 to open the scoring on Sunday with his 17th La Liga goal of the season.
One to watch for Real Madrid: Karim Benzema has all the experience you could ask for on the big occasion. The French striker has done it all with Real, and overhauling Atletico in this title race would rank among his finest achievements. Benzema has 12 league goals to his name so far this term, and is 5/1 to add to that with the opener in these Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid predictions.
Long shot: Meetings between these rivals are often low-scoring affairs. Just four of the last 12 domestic matches between the pair have seen both teams score, delivering a total of 17 goals at just 1.4 per game. Atletico are 15/2 to sneak a huge 1-0 victory, with those odds rising to 39/1 if you include Suarez as the goalscorer.