Bayern Munich can move to within just one win of the Bundesliga title with a victory over Hamburg on Saturday. Even though the visitors are fighting for their lives as they stare relegation in the face, there’s little chance of them beating the champions-elect.
Where and when: Allianz Arena – 10 March, kick-off 14:30
Where you can see Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg: William Hill live streaming
Last time: A solitary second half strike from Corentin Tolisso was enough to hand Bayern the points when the teams met at the Volksparkstadion in October.
Bayern Munich v Hamburg Predictions and Preview
The visitors face a monstrous task as they travel to the Allianz Arena in their bid to avoid the drop to the 2. Bundesliga. Without a win since the end of November, it’s virtually impossible to see anything other than another three points for Bayern as they continue their unstoppable march to the title.
Die Roten have won all but one of their matches in the same period and are 1/7 to pick up the win, so you’ll have to get creative with your bets to get some value out of the hosts. Jupp Heynckes’ side have won 12 of their last 13 games against Hamburg, outscoring their opponents by 56 goals to six. That run includes two 5-0 victories, two 8-0 scorelines and a 9-2.
Bayern are 15/4 to score over five goals in this one, while a home win to nil looks a decent bet at 3/4. Less likely but certainly well within the realms of possibility considering the history of this fixture, the odds on over 7.5 goals are 28/1, while it’s 12/1 for over 6.5 goals.
Hamburg meanwhile are 28/1 for the victory. The only time Die Rothosen avoided defeat against Bayern in those last 13 games was in September 2014, when they held the Bavarians to a goalless draw at the Volksparkstadion. A repeat of that scoreline is priced at 30/1, and would be a great result for the visitors given the circumstances. An outright draw is available at 9/1.
At least Hamburg won’t have to beat Manuel Neuer in their quest for a positive result, with the German No.1 still struggling with a broken foot. James Rodriguez is a doubt after a calf injury, while Kingsley Coman misses out due to an ankle problem.
Albin Ekdal is back in training for Hamburg, although head coach Bernd Hollerbach has question marks over Lewis Holtby, Bjarne Thoelke, Andreas Hirzel and Mergim Mavraj, while Nicolai Müller is still recovering from a cruciate injury.
One to watch for Bayern Munich: Robert Lewandowski. After failing to find the target in the goalless draw at home to Hertha Berlin, the Polish striker was given a rest on Sunday at Freiburg. The Bundesliga’s top scorer will be desperate to get back on the scoresheet, and he’s 12/5 to break the deadlock or 6/1 to bag a hat-trick.
One to watch for Hamburg: Jann-Fiete Arp. The 18-year-old German forward has two Bundesliga goals to his name this season, and will look to add to that given the chance in Munich. He’s 22/1 to score the last goal of the game, or 13/2 to bag anytime.
Long shot: If Bayern get an early goal or two then the floodgates could really open against a poor and out of form Hamburg side. With 11 goals coming in a meeting between the teams in March 2013, an over 8.5 goals bet is available at 66/1 in this one.