It’s hard to see anything but a home win in this game, as Bayern Munich host Werder Bremen at the Allianz Arena on Sunday. Der FCB have won their last 16 games against Die Werderaner, and will surely maintain their 13 point lead at the top of the Bundesliga this weekend.
Where and when: Allianz Arena – 21 January, kick-off 14:30
Where you can see Bayern Munich vs. Werder Bremen: BT Sport, Unibet live streaming
Last time: A late brace from Robert Lewandowski was enough for Bayern to secure the points when the teams met at the Weserstadion towards the end of August.
Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen Predictions and Preview
Bayern’s extraordinary winning run over Bremen stretches back to October 2010, while the last time Die Werderaner beat the Bavarians was back in 2008. That was a 5-2 success at the Allianz Arena, but there’s little chance of the visitors getting a similar result on Sunday.
In fact, the bookmakers have a repeat of that scoreline at 500/1, which although it may be worth a cheeky pound or two, is likely to be a waste of money. Jupp Heynckes’ side are heavy favourites in the betting at 3/20, so you’ll have to be creative with your bets to get some value out of the home win.
Over the course of those 16 victories over Bremen, Die Roten have plundered 59 goals, conceding just eight and keeping nine clean sheets. Seven of those shutouts have come in the last eight meetings, so Bayern winning to nil at evens looks like a great bet, especially considering the visitors have only scored 14 times so far this season. Only bottom side FC Koln have scored fewer, with a 3-0 home win priced at 29/4 and 4-0 at 9/1.
There should be little threat to Bayern’s goal in this game, so the continued absence of Manuel Neuer due to a metatarsal fracture won’t be much of an issue. Creative midfielder Thiago will be more of a miss, but with the likes of Franck Ribery, James Rodriguez, Thomas Muller and Lewandowski all on target in recent games, the hosts have lots of firepower in their ranks.
If you think Bremen can cause the mother of all upsets and bring a glimmer of hope to the teams trailing in Bayern’s wake, the away win’s available as long as 22/1. A draw would still be a great result for Florian Kohfeldt’s side, and this is priced at 9/1.
One to watch for Bayern Munich: Lewandowski is the Bundesliga’s top scorer with 15 goals, and on course to finish as the leading marksman for the third time in five years – especially if Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang leaves Borussia Dortmund. The Polish striker’s 9/2 to break the deadlock and 7/20 to score anytime.
One to watch for Werder Bremen: Miroslav Klose was the last Bremen player to finish the season as the league’s top scorer in 2006 with 25 goals. Current highest scorer Max Kruse may share the same initials, but with just four league goals to his name he’s lagging a long way behind his predecessor. Kruse is 19/5 to score anytime, or 15/1 to bag the last goal of the game.
Long shot: Bayern have only failed to score on one occasion in the Bundesliga so far this term, a 2-0 defeat at Hoffenheim in September. Bremen’s best chance of a result is to shut up shop and hope that Die Roten have a rare off day in front of goal, particularly as they don’t score many themselves. The goalless draw is highly unlikely, but could be worth a speculative punt at 45/1.