Chelsea hold a narrow advantage over Real Madrid from the first leg of this Champions League semi-final tie. It’s all to play for back at Stamford Bridge though, with a place in the Istanbul final against either Manchester City or Paris Saint-Germain up for grabs.
Where and when: Stamford Bridge – 5 May, kick-off 20:00
Where you can see Chelsea vs. Real Madrid: BT Sport
Last time: Christian Pulisic gave Chelsea an early lead but Karim Benzema equalised before half-time, as the first leg at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano ended 1-1.
Chelsea v Real Madrid Predictions and Preview
The first half of the first leg was breathtaking, before a significantly quieter second period. That probably suited Real Madrid more than Chelsea, with Los Blancos off the pace on the night and fortunate to escape with only conceding a single away goal.
Chelsea, on the other hand, were disappointed not to press home their advantage, with Madrid showing their experience to grind out a decent enough result in the face of their off night. We can fully expect the La Liga champions to be at the races in the return.
Even so, the home team know that they will be in the Champions League final if they can keep a clean sheet. And there have been plenty of those since Thomas Tuchel arrived at Stamford Bridge in January.
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Real Madrid to win in extra-time
Chelsea to keep a clean sheet
The German tactician coached Chelsea to 16 clean sheets in his first 22 games in charge of the Blues, including in both legs of their last-16 clash with Real’s local rivals, Atletico Madrid. A goalless draw would be enough for the hosts, and that scoreline is priced at 17/2 in these Chelsea v Real Madrid predictions.
If you’re more interested in the outright market, you can back the home win at 39/29. That makes Chelsea the favourites, with Madrid coming in at 13/5 with William Hill. A draw could come with a range of permutations, and is 12/5.
A high-scoring draw would take Real through on away goals, with the goalless stalemate of course seeing Chelsea through. A 1-1 after 90 minutes would take the tie to extra-time, with that particular outcome priced at 11/2.
Chelsea are the 9/13 favourites to qualify for the final by any method, with Madrid the 17/12 underdogs. You can’t rule Zinedine Zidane and his players out though, given their vast experience of winning this tournament over recent years.
The first-leg draw between these teams may have taken Los Blancos to just one win in five matches, but they went unbeaten between February and April, a run of 18 games prior to Saturday’s home match against Osasuna. Madrid will surely have their say at some point, it just remains to be seen how big a say it is and whether Chelsea can respond.
One to watch for Chelsea: Christian Pulisic was excellent in the first half of the first leg, showing real composure and a lovely touch to open the scoring. He is 13/2 to break the deadlock once again here.
One to watch for Real Madrid: Pulisic is the man effectively tasked with filling Eden Hazard’s shoes at Stamford Bridge. Hazard came on as a substitute in the first leg and will hope to have more of an impact after another week’s training on his return to the Bridge. He is 8/1 to score first, and the same price in the last goalscorer market.
Long shot: This double-header is the first time these clubs have played each other competitively since 1998. Their only previous encounter, even that was in the European Super Cup, with Chelsea winning 1-0 courtesy of a Gus Poyet strike. The Blues are 6/1 to hold onto a 1-0 lead this time round, rising to 48/1 with Pulisic getting the goal.