Four weeks, fifty matches and 140 goals have brought us to this Euro 2020 final between Italy and England at Wembley Stadium on Sunday. The Three Lions are in their first major final for 55 years, while the Azzurri have held the upper hand between the countries over the years.
Where and when: Wembley Stadium – 11 July, kick-off 20:00
Where you can see Italy vs. England: BBC, ITV
Last time: These teams last met in a friendly in March 2018. Lorenzo Insigne scored a penalty a few minutes from time, cancelling out a Jamie Vardy opener as Italy salvaged a late 1-1 draw.
Italy v England Predictions and Preview
The European Championship final is upon us, with Italy and England the last two teams standing. Will the Azzurri add a second Euro title to their trophy haul which also includes four World Cups, or can the Three Lions lift only their second major piece of silverware and the first since 1966?
The Italians have enjoyed real superiority over the English at major tournaments over the years. The countries have met four times at the Euros and World Cup, with the Azzurri winning on every occasion. The most recent of those was a 2-1 victory in the first group game of the 2014 World Cup, a group with neither of these countries got out of.
England are a different prospect these days, and they will have home advantage at their national stadium. Wembley was bouncing for their knockout victories over Germany and Denmark, and the home support could be significant in the final. Italy fans significantly outnumbered their Spanish counterparts in their semi-final, but it remains to be seen how many Azzurri supporters can get their hands on tickets for the showpiece.
It doesn’t get much bigger than this for England. Gareth Southgate has united the entire country behind this Three Lions squad, guiding them to their first final in 55 years. There’s huge pressure on the English players, but they’ve shown over the last three or four years that they can handle pressure and find different ways of winning football matches.
|Our Eurotips||Odds||Free bets||Bookie|
Under 2.5 goals
Sterling to score first
The same is very true of Italy. The Azzurri began Euro 2020 in wonderful style, exhibiting a vibrant, attacking brand of football rarely seen before. Their renowned defensive solidity and at times, gamesmanship, has guided them through tough knockout ties against Belgium and Spain though, and they are masters at controlling games and keeping their opponents at bay.
Italy’s attacking cohesion has been compromised by the loss of Leonardo Spinazzola to injury. The Roma left-back suffered a ruptured Achilles in the quarter-finals, with replacement Emerson Palmieri unable to provide the same degree of thrust down the left flank.
Left-sided forward Lorenzo Insigne also struggled to get into the semi-final, which impacted Ciro Immobile through the middle. Despite that, the Italians have plenty of flair to go along with one of the world’s finest centre-back pairings in Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci.
England’s central defensive partnership of Harry Maguire and John Stones has also been superb so far this summer. The Three Lions have only conceded one goal in six matches at the Euros, and even that was a 30-yard free-kick stunner from Mikkel Damsgaard in the semis.
The English team showed huge amounts of desire against Denmark, epitomised by the work rate of star man Raheem Sterling and captain Harry Kane. Southgate must decide whether to stick with a 4-3-3 once again, or revert to a 3-5-2 or 3-4-3. That, and his selection in attacking areas, is going to be a tough call, with these teams having the potential to really cancel each other out.
A draw after 90 minutes is 2/1 with William Hill as part of our Italy v England predictions for the Euro 2020 final. The Three Lions are the slight favourites to win it inside normal time at 16/9, with Italy available at 21/10. The Azzurri are 21/20 to lift the trophy via any method, with the English priced at 11/14. You can get 9/2 on either team to win on penalties, and the same odds on either team winning in extra time.
One to watch for Italy: Lorenzo Insigne has been a real live wire for the Azzurri, and his ability to get involved in Italy’s play in the final is going to be crucial. The Napoli forward is available at 10/1 to break the deadlock on Sunday night.
One to watch for England: Raheem Sterling put in his most impressive all-round performance in an England shirt in the semi-finals. The 26-year-old scored his country’s first three goals of Euro 2020, and is 13/2 to notch his fourth of the tournament with the opener in the final.
Long shot: This game is likely to be tight, tense and nervy to the last. A goalless draw after 90 minutes is 13/2, while you can get the same odds on the English nicking it 1-0. With Harry Kane getting the goal and writing his name into history, those odds rise to 53/1 in our Italy v England tips for the final.