Barring a shocking turn of events, Italy and Wales will be merely playing for places in Group A rather than qualification for the knockout rounds of Euro 2020. Both countries should be in the last 16, with this game at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome determining who they’ll each face once there.
Where and when: Stadio Olimpico – 20 June, kick-off 17:00
Where you can see Italy vs. Wales: ITV, S4C
Last time: These countries haven’t met since qualifying for Euro 2004. Wales won their home game 2-1, before Italy responded with a resounding 4-0 victory back on home soil, with Filippo Inzaghi netting a hat-trick.
Italy v Wales Predictions and Preview
Wales may have beaten Italy in their meeting before last, but the Welsh Dragons haven’t had much luck against the Azzurri over the years. The Italians have won seven of the nine meetings between the countries, but luckily for Wales, they don’t need a result on Sunday.
Rob Page’s side secured a monumental 2-0 victory over Turkey in their second group game on Wednesday, taking them to four points following their opening draw against Switzerland. It seems almost impossible that they won’t be in the last 16.
It could’ve been a less stressful last half hour if Gareth Bale hadn’t skied a penalty, but neither he nor the Welsh supporters cared one jot about that when Connor Richards’ 95th-minute strike sealed the victory following Aaron Ramsey’s first-half opener.
|Our Eurotips||Odds||Free bets||Bookie|
Italy to win to nil
Italy to win 1-0
Under 2.5 goals
Italy’s also beat Turkey in their Group A opener, leaving them with a nigh-impossible task not to make the knockout stage. Roberto Mancini has the Azzurri looking like a proper team once again. They are strong defensively and with Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne and Domenico Berardi up top, they carry a huge goal threat too.
That has been evident in both of Italy’s matches so far. Their opening win against Turkey was the first time they’d ever scored three times in a single game at the Euros. They promptly followed that up by doing the same against Switzerland in their second match.
Wales were happy to let Turkey dominate the ball in their last game, but that’ll be a more dangerous tactic against the Italians. It’s not one, however, they’re likely to be able to avoid. The Dragons will need to be at the top of their game defensively and clinical when they get a chance at the other end.
Both managers may decide to ring the changes ahead of the last 16, with the likes of Federico Chiesa, Andrea Belotti and Federico Bernardeschi hoping for a start for Italy. Neco Williams, Ethan Ampadu and David Brooks are among those vying for a spot in the Welsh starting XI.
Whether there are widespread changes or not, the Azzurri will start as the clear favourites in the Italy v Wales predictions for this final group fixture. Mancini’s side are 1/2 for the win, while Wales are priced at 43/5. If you think the game will end in a draw, that’s available at 3/1 with William Hill.
One to watch for Italy: Andrea Belotti is leading the chase for a promotion to the Italian starting line-up, and the Torino striker will be desperate to reward his manager with a goal should he get the nod.
One to watch for Wales: Daniel James is a real live wire, and his pace ought to threaten Italy on the break. He’ll hope to improve his scoring record of just four goals in 22 international appearances this summer.
Long shot: The last meeting between these sides ended 4-0 to Italy. The same result here is unlikely but priced at 22/1 in these Italy v Wales tips. The Welsh, meanwhile, are 17/1 to sneak the points courtesy of a 1-0 victory.