Mainz host Hoffenheim at the Opel Arena on Saturday afternoon, in what is a massive game for both clubs. The visitors are bidding to qualify for European competition next season, while the hosts are trying to secure their top-flight survival.
Where and when: Opel Arena – 30 May, kick-off 14:30
Where you can see Mainz vs. Hoffenheim: BT Sport
Last time: Despite only taking a 1-0 lead into the half-time break, Mainz ended up thrashing Hoffendem 5-1 at the PreZero Arena in late November.
Mainz v Hoffenheim Predictions and Preview
Mainz may have added two late goals to their tally earlier this season, but they were good value for another big win over Hoffenheim, having ran out 4-2 winners in this fixture last season. That bodes well for the home supporters, even if none of them will be allowed into the Opel Arena on Saturday afternoon.
Die Nullfunfer need all the help they can get at the moment, after going down 5-0 on home soil to RB Leipzig last weekend. Mainz have only won two of their last 11 Bundesliga fixtures, losing six – prior to Wednesday’s trip to Union Berlin. That form means they’re hovering just above the drop zone and still in danger of relegation.
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Over 5.5 goals
Hoffenheim, on the other hand, are in the midst of a six-way battle for a place in the Europa League. However, Die Kraichgauer are in poor form and without a win in their eight matches preceding their home game against Koln on Wednesday night, losing five. The three times they’ve avoided defeat in those games have all been 1-1 draws, with a repeat of that scoreline here priced at 7/1.
If you’re more interested in the outright market, away team Hoffenheim are the slight favourites for the win at 11/8. They’ve won five of the last 10 meetings between the sides, but none of the last three. The first game in that run was a 1-1 draw, with Mainz winning the two most recent games. The hosts are 21/10 to make it three in a row on Saturday afternoon.
They’ll have to do so without the help of goalkeeper Robin Zentner and defender Stefan Bell, who are both on the treatment table at present. Hoffenheim meanwhile will be without Ishak Belfodil, Konstantinos Stafylidis and Sargis Adamyan, while Andrej Kramaric is also rated as doubtful for this encounter.
One to watch for Mainz: Swedish international Robin Quaison is Mainz’s top scorer with 12 Bundesliga goals in 26 appearances so far this season. He is 23/4 to open the scoring in this game.
One to watch for Hoffenheim: Danish forward Robert Skov broke the deadlock for Hoffenheim in just the fourth minute of their game at Paderborn last weekend. He is 8/1 to net the opener once again here.
Long shot: Mainz have scored nine goals in their last two games against Hoffenheim, while they conceded five against RB Leipzig at the weekend. Over 5.5 goals here is 15/2, while Mainz are 66/1 to repeat their 4-2 win over Hoffenheim in last season’s corresponding fixture.