League A group 3 of the UEFA Nations League concludes on Tuesday as Portugal – who have already won the group – host Poland, already relegated, in the northern city of Guimarães. The hosts are strong favourites to win the game to complete their successful group campaign.
Where and when: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães – 20 November, kick-off 19:45
Where you can see Portugal vs. Poland: William Hill, Sky Sports
Last time: Portugal won 3-2 in Poland last month thanks to strikes from Andre Silva and Bernardo Silva, alongside a Kamil Glik own goal. Portugal eliminated Poland from the European Championships 2016 while Poland have not won on two previous trips to Portugal.
|Portugal win to nil||8/5||Offer|
|Over 3.5 goals||14/5||Offer|
|Portugal/Portugal half time/full time||8/5||Offer|
Portugal vs. Poland Predictions and Preview
There is little of genuine significance to play for in this game with Portugal having already confirmed their qualification while Poland have been relegated.
It is possible that each side will treat Tuesday night’s meeting in Guimarães as a de facto friendly encounter, with experimentation used by each side.
However, the hosts will be keen to maintain their unbeaten record while Poland will look to record their first win in five games and only their second in nine.
It is perhaps unsurprising that it is Fernando Santos’s Portugal side who are favourites to win this encounter at odds of 4/6, with the visitors priced at 19/4 and the draw available at 5/2.
Across the last six meetings between these two teams there have been 18 goals, suggesting that over 3.5 goals at 14/5 represents good value, with over 4.5 goals is at 13/2.
A ‘double chance’ on Poland to come away with either a draw or a win is available at 5/4 while a Portugal win/draw outcome is at 1/6.
If you fancy the home side to be leading at both half-time and at the final whistle, such odds are available at 8/5.
Poland are without a goal in three games so a Portugal win to nil at 8/5 offers value.
One to watch for Portugal: Andre Silva has an impressive return of 14 goals in 30 Portugal internationals including two this season – one of which came against Poland – while he has seven goals in 11 appearances for Sevilla, for whom he is on loan.
One to watch for Poland: Robert Lewandowski is Poland’s all-time leading goal scorer with 55 goals in 102 international caps and will be desperate to end his run of no goals in eight internationals.
Long shot: Portugal were involved in a dull goalless draw with Italy on Saturday night while Poland have failed to score in each of their last two outings. Odds of this game to finish scoreless are available at 19/2.