European giants Spain and France meet at San Siro in Milan to contest the final of the 2021 UEFA Nations League. It promises to be a fascinating encounter between two teams packed with talent.
Where and when: San Siro – 10 October, kick-off 19:45
Where you can see Spain vs. France: Sky Sports
Last time: Late strikes from David Silva and Gerard Deulofeu secured a 2-0 victory for Spain in a 2017 friendly at the Stade de France.
Spain v France Predictions and Preview
Spain’s win in the last meeting between these countries was their fifth in seven against France. Les Bleus won the previous clash 1-0 in 2014, but their last competitive victory over La Roja was at the 2006 World Cup.
Spain have won two and drawn one of their three competitive meetings since then, including a 2-0 triumph in the Euro 2012 quarter-finals, a tournament they went on to win. Luis Enrique’s side looked excellent in their Nations League semi-final victory over Italy, with their 2-1 success ending the Azzurri’s record 37-match unbeaten run.
La Roja enjoyed 75% of possession in that game, a stat helped by Leonardo Bonucci’s first-half sending off for the Italians, on the back of two daft yellow cards. That said, Spain also dominated possession in their loss to Italy in the semi-finals of Euro 2020 in the summer, and they’ll likely enjoy more of the play than France on Sunday night.
Les Bleus are a different proposition to Italy in the final third though, as they showed with their explosive second-half performance against Belgium. Two goals to nil down to the world’s top-ranked side at the break, France were transformed in the second period and scored three times to win 3-2.
There was a late scare when Romelu Lukaku thought he’d won it for the Belgians, before the goal was ruled out by VAR due for offside. Theo Hernandez then struck a composed stunner to win it for the French, sending coach Didier Deschamps and his staff into raptures.
A good performance in this tournament could prove a real springboard to success for either team at next year’s World Cup in Qatar. The reigning world champions are the 31/20 favourites to win this Spain v France preview in normal time, with the Spanish priced at 41/20.
A draw is 9/4 and would send the tie to extra time, with France 4/5 to lift the trophy by any means, and Spain 19/20. We’re tipping against both teams scoring in this final at 39/40, an outcome that’s paid out in six of the last seven meetings between the countries. Spain have won five of those games to nil, with the same outcome here available at 4/1.
One to watch for Spain: Ferran Torres was superb against Italy, netting a decisive brace in the first half. He is among the favourites to break the deadlock in these Spain v France predictions.
One to watch for France: Kylian Mbappe is also among the favourites to net first, having drawn Les Bleus level against Belgium with a superbly-taken pressure penalty.
Long shot: Les Bleus may be slight favourites in these Spain v France tips, but La Roja have shown their ability to control games. They’ve also enjoyed the upper hand against the French in recent years, with a fourth 2-0 victory for Spain in seven meetings between these countries priced at 29/2.