Spain vs. France Tips, Preview and Predictions

Spain national team crest

European giants Spain and France meet at San Siro in Milan to contest the final of the 2021 UEFA Nations League. It promises to be a fascinating encounter between two teams packed with talent. 

Where and when: San Siro – 10 October, kick-off 19:45

Where you can see Spain vs. France: Sky Sports

Last time: Late strikes from David Silva and Gerard Deulofeu secured a 2-0 victory for Spain in a 2017 friendly at the Stade de France. 

Spain v France Predictions and Preview

Spain’s win in the last meeting between these countries was their fifth in seven against France. Les Bleus won the previous clash 1-0 in 2014, but their last competitive victory over La Roja was at the 2006 World Cup. 

Spain have won two and drawn one of their three competitive meetings since then, including a 2-0 triumph in the Euro 2012 quarter-finals, a tournament they went on to win. Luis Enrique’s side looked excellent in their Nations League semi-final victory over Italy, with their 2-1 success ending the Azzurri’s record 37-match unbeaten run. 

La Roja enjoyed 75% of possession in that game, a stat helped by Leonardo Bonucci’s first-half sending off for the Italians, on the back of two daft yellow cards. That said, Spain also dominated possession in their loss to Italy in the semi-finals of Euro 2020 in the summer, and they’ll likely enjoy more of the play than France on Sunday night. 

Les Bleus are a different proposition to Italy in the final third though, as they showed with their explosive second-half performance against Belgium. Two goals to nil down to the world’s top-ranked side at the break, France were transformed in the second period and scored three times to win 3-2. 

There was a late scare when Romelu Lukaku thought he’d won it for the Belgians, before the goal was ruled out by VAR due for offside. Theo Hernandez then struck a composed stunner to win it for the French, sending coach Didier Deschamps and his staff into raptures. 

A good performance in this tournament could prove a real springboard to success for either team at next year’s World Cup in Qatar. The reigning world champions are the 31/20 favourites to win this Spain v France preview in normal time, with the Spanish priced at 41/20

A draw is 9/4 and would send the tie to extra time, with France 4/5 to lift the trophy by any means, and Spain 19/20. We’re tipping against both teams scoring in this final at 39/40, an outcome that’s paid out in six of the last seven meetings between the countries. Spain have won five of those games to nil, with the same outcome here available at 4/1

One to watch for Spain: Ferran Torres was superb against Italy, netting a decisive brace in the first half. He is among the favourites to break the deadlock in these Spain v France predictions. 

One to watch for France: Kylian Mbappe is also among the favourites to net first, having drawn Les Bleus level against Belgium with a superbly-taken pressure penalty. 

Long shot: Les Bleus may be slight favourites in these Spain v France tips, but La Roja have shown their ability to control games. They’ve also enjoyed the upper hand against the French in recent years, with a fourth 2-0 victory for Spain in seven meetings between these countries priced at 29/2

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