Two countries looking to recover from disappointing starts to their Euro 2020 campaigns sees Spain play Poland on Saturday night. La Furia Roja will have home advantage at the Estadio La Cartuja in Seville, but the Spanish supporters won’t be able to do anything to help with Luis Enrique’s side’s finishing.
Where and when: Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla – 19 June, kick-off 20:00
Where you can see Spain vs. Poland: BBC
Last time: Spain thrashed Poland 6-0 the last time the countries met, which was in a friendly in Murcia back in 2010. Six different players got the goals for La Roja, namely David Villa, David Silva, Xabi Alonso, Cesc Fabregas, Fernando Torres and Pedro.
Spain v Poland Predictions and Preview
The current Spain squad is well short of the quality they had the last time these teams faced each other a decade ago. Indeed, La Roja would become world champions just weeks after that friendly in Murcia, with such heady heights appearing far away ahead of this clash with Poland.
Spain’s preparations for Euro 2020 have been marred by a Covid-19 outbreak, but that doesn’t excuse their lack of creativity and poor finishing in their Group E opener against Sweden on Monday.
Despite dominating with 85% possession and 917 passes, La Roja failed to break down a dogged Swedish side in the goalless draw at this same stadium in Seville. Spain were short of ideas and bravery in the final third, but they still managed 17 shots on goal, wasting them all.
Quite simply, Enrique needs Alvaro Morata to discover his scoring touch, or Spain can kiss goodbye to any hopes of winning the Euros. There are other players in the squad, such as Gerard Moreno, who may feel they can step up, but without a fit and firing goalscorer, they have little chance of repeating their back-to-back Euro successes of 2008 and 2012.
|Our Eurotips||Odds||Free bets||Bookie|
Spain to win to nil
Spain to win 1-0
Morata to score first
The Spanish have a superb defence, registering 11 clean sheets in their last 14 matches at the Euros. If they can lace up their shooting boots in this game, they’ll have everything they need to pick up the victory at 2/5 in these Spain v Poland predictions.
If it’s a cutting edge you’re after, they don’t come much sharper than Polish striker Robert Lewandowski. The Bayern Munich hitman netted 48 goals for his club last season, although he failed to find the target as Poland slipped to a 2-1 defeat against Slovakia in their opening fixture.
Hampered by going down to 10 men just after the hour, Grzegorz Krychowiak will serve his suspension in this game. That doesn’t help the Poles’ chances, with the Eagles priced at 9/1 to take the points on Saturday.
A draw would be a positive result for Paulo Sousa’s side, giving them a chance to reach the last 16 in their final group game against Sweden. If you think Poland can following the Swedes in holding Spain to a draw, that’s priced at 19/5 in the betting with William Hill.
One to watch for Spain: All eyes will be on Alvaro Morata, as the Juventus striker bids to prove he has what it takes to lead the Spanish line. He is available at 31/10 to prove his doubters wrong by netting the opener in this game.
One to watch for Poland: Robert Lewandowski has few doubters in recent years, although he has come in for criticism for his performances at major tournaments in the past. Breaking the deadlock at 8/1 would be the perfect riposte.
Long shot: Gerard Moreno has just had the season of his life with Villarreal, netting 30 goals and helping the Yellow Submarine lift the Europa League. He is 21/5 to open the scoring in these Spain v Poland tips, with those odds rising to 33/1 if it proves to be the only goal of the game.