A crucial clash in Group A4 of the Nations League sees Switzerland host Spain at St. Jakob Park in Basel on Saturday night. The Rossocrociati are battling to avoid relegation to the second tier of countries, while La Roja have their sights firmly set on the finals.
Where and when: St. Jakob Park – 14 November, kick-off 19:45
Where you can see Switzerland vs. Spain: Sky Sports
Last time: Mikel Oyarzabal scored the only goal of the game as Spain beat Switzerland 1-0 at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano in Madrid a month ago.
Switzerland v Spain Predictions and Preview
Switzerland and Spain have tended to avoid each other in recent years, with last month’s Nations League meeting their first competitive encounter since the 2010 World Cup. The Rossocrociati beat eventual champions Spain 1-0 in their opening group game of that tournament, while that was their first meeting since the 1994 World Cup.
This weekend’s game is a huge fixture for both of these countries, and is likely to shape their futures in the Nations League. Switzerland are staring down the barrel of relegation, with a defeat in this game consigning them to demotion to League B. That would be a huge disappointment for Vladimir Petkovic and his players, after they reached the finals of the first running of this tournament last summer.
The Rossocrociati’s defence is no longer the watertight brick wall it used to be, having conceded seven goals in just four matches in this section. We can expect the visitors to set up in an effort to construct a brick wall at St. Jakob Park this weekend, which could mean we’re in for a low-scoring affair. With that in mind, an under 2.5 goals bet is priced at 10/11.
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Spain to win and under 2.5 goals
Spain to win 1-0
Morata to score first
In the outright market, Switzerland are 10/3, while Spain are the 19/20 favourites for the win. La Roja are top of this group after four matches, leading both Germany and Ukraine by a single point with those two countries facing off in Leipzig at the same time as this game. The Germans await Luis Enrique’s side in the final match of this section, so a win here could leave Spain only needing a draw on Tuesday.
A draw in this game is priced at 5/2, and it would appear the more likely result if the home team can get anything from the match. It would mirror the outcome of a 2018 friendly between the countries in Villarreal two years ago, but the obvious pick for the winner in these Switzerland v Spain predictions has to be the visitors.
One to watch for Switzerland: Xherdan Shaqiri opted to stay and fight for his place at Liverpool after reports he was available for sale over the summer. The 29-year-old will relish a starting and starring role for his country during this international window, and is 8/1 to prove his worth with the opening goal.
One to watch for Spain: Alvaro Morata also has a point to prove after initially being left out of this Spanish squad. An injury to Ansu Fati means the Juventus striker gets a chance, and after returning to form in Turin this season, he is the 4/1 favourite to break the deadlock on Saturday night.
Long shot: Predicting the first goalscorer and correct scoreline is a great way to get big odds. With Morata the favourite to strike first and our prediction of a low-scoring match, the former Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Chelsea forward is 34/1 to get the only goal of the game as Spain beat Switzerland 1-0 for the second time in as many months.