What are the best odds on finishing in the top four in La Liga?

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It’s only a mere matter of time until Barcelona are confirmed as La Liga’s champions once again, while Madrid rivals Atletico and Real have all but sewn up their spots in the top four. Those two capital clubs will squabble for local bragging rights over the next five games, but the battle to finish in the final Champions League qualification place is where it’s really at now. 

The relegation battle might be tight and tense, but things couldn’t be much closer between three clubs who are looking to claim that final top four spot. Remarkably, Getafe are currently occupying it and looking to make it three Madrid clubs in the top four. Los Azulones have never competed in Europe’s premier cup competition, either in its guise as the Champions League or European Cup. 

Getafe’s best ever La Liga finish is when they came sixth in 2010, while they were only promoted back to the top flight from the Segunda Division in 2017. However, the Madrid minnows currently have a two-point lead over two much more established sides, Valencia and Sevilla. Athletic Bilbao and Alaves are a further six points back, with the latter having played a game more than everyone else, so we can probably discount those two from the reckoning. 

Getafe are 9/2 to finish in the top four, and they have a huge match against Real Madrid coming up this weekend. If you fancy Jose Bordalas’s side to get the job done, now could be the time to get on them. Lose this weekend, and with a trip to Barcelona coming up before the end of the season, the other two will have a great chance to reel them in. Win though, and that price will shorten. 

The odds on Valencia finishing in the top four are 3/1, and they currently lie fifth by virtue of their superior head-to-head record against Sevilla. Los Che have a tough end to the campaign though. They have their two-legged Europa League semi-final with Arsenal to navigate, as well as an away day at Atletico Madrid this weekend and Barcelona in the Copa del Rey to end the season. 

Fatigue could set in with Marcelino’s players, while Sevilla have a much gentler run-in. Los Rojiblancos do have to go away to Atletico in their penultimate game, but their other four matches include three at home. Their only other away match is against a struggling Girona side who are down in 17th. 

While most neutrals will be willing Getafe to pull off a minor miracle, the smart money looks like it’s leaning towards Sevilla at this point. Joaquin Caparros’s side are 9/4 to finish in the top four and secure another season of Champions League football, and the riches that come with it. There’s a decent chance their position will be stronger after this weekend’s action, so now’s the time to back the Ramon Sanchez outfit. 

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