What are the best odds on La Liga relegation?

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Barcelona wrapped up the La Liga title with three games to spare last weekend, but the end of the season promises to be gripping at the other end of the table. Two teams are hanging on to their top-flight status by their fingertips, but it’s still mathematically possible for ninth-placed Real Sociedad to still go down. 

While that’s unlikely, Rayo Vallecano and Huesca are heavy favourites to go down. They’re priced at 1/20 and 1/100 respectively to be plying their trade in the Segunda next season. Huesca are seven points from safety and need a miracle, while Vallecano are only a point better off. If you think Huesca can at least avoid finishing bottom, Vallecano are 21/10 to take that unwanted honour. 

Valladolid head into this weekend 18th in the table with 35 points. Fourteenth-placed Villarreal are five points up the road, and we’re discounting them from the relegation reckoning. If you don’t want to though, you can get 150/1 on the Yellow Submarine sinking into the second tier come the end of play on Sunday 19 May. 

Below Villarreal is where it gets really interesting. Girona, Levante and Celta Vigo are all on 37 points, only separated at present by their head-to-head records. Vigo play champions Barcelona this weekend, before a trip to Athletic Bilbao precedes their final game at home to Vallecano. They could be in real trouble heading into the final weekend, needing a win to stay up. Celta Vigo could be worth a look at 13/2 to go down. 

Valladolid are still the favourites for the drop from that closely-bunched group of four though. They are 4/7, ahead of Athletic Bilbao at home, Rayo Vallecano away and Valencia at home. That’s not a bad run-in at all, and the Blanquivioletas could upset the odds as the season reaches its climax. 

Girona meanwhile have Getafe away before Levante at home and Alaves away. There’s a couple of tricky games on the road in there, making their price of 4/1 look quite attractive. Getafe are fighting to finish in the top four, while Alaves are up in eighth and also have their eyes on European football for next season. 

Levante of course are right in the thick of the relegation dogfight, so that’s another tough game for Girona. It’s a difficult one for Levante too of course, and one they need to avoid losing. The Granotas have a good chance to get three more points on the board this weekend though, as they entertain Vallecano at the Ciutat de Valencia. 

After that, Paco Lopez’s side go to Montilivi to play Girona, before a tough final game at home to Atletico Madrid. If Levante fail to win this weekend, their price of 5/1 will come right in. A victory would see their odds lengthen though, which could be the time to get on them considering they’ve got two difficult games to finish off. 

At this stage, we’re backing Girona to go down with Rayo Vallecano and Huesca. Why not let us know what you think in the comments below? 

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